UFC 218 Fight Forecast

Fight Forecast previews the event by providing the fighter's career StrikeScore as well as UFC Fantasy predictions, betting odds, DraftKings prices and Fight Matrix rankings.

StrikeScore is a proprietary stat that measures striking efficiency. The formula uses Fightmetric data, so fighters without fights in the database are not included. Also, a fighter must have at least three fights in the database before the formula can considered at all predictive.

UFC Fantasy and Tapology numbers are the percent of players who have picked each fighter to win. (Numbers are current as of Dec. 1 at 2:10 p.m. ET)

Odds is the betting line of 5Dimes taken from BestFightOdds.com. (Numbers are current as of Dec. 1 at 2:10 p.m. ET)

DraftKings prices listed below are the dollar value used for the fantasy game. Also listed are the average points scored by the fighter in the fantasy game. For a breakdown of DraftKings scoring click here.

Fight Matrix column represents the fighter's current unbiased and objective ranking.

In this case, the period used for Rankings Momentum was 1/1/2016 to 10/1/2017. Fighters must have been ranked in at least four quarters during the period to be included. 

*Fewer than three fights in the FightMetric

*Fewer than three fights in the FightMetric

Titan FC 40 Fight Forecast

Fight Forecast is a recurring series at StrikeScore that provides a stats based preview of upcoming events. The following uses Fight Matrix rankings, peak rank, Tapology user votes, betting odds and Rankings Momentum.

In this case, the period used for Rankings Momentum was 7/1/2014 to 4/1/2016. Fighters must have been ranked in at least four quarters during the period to be included. Tapology scores are as of Aug. 5 at 9:30 a.m. EST. Betting odds are from 5Dimes via BestFightOdds.com as of Aug. 5 at 9:30 a.m. EST.

*Ranking at featherweight

*Ranking at featherweight

Notes
In his last fight, Gesias Cavalcante defeated Pat Healy for the vacant Titan FC lightweight title. Prior to that, “JZ” had fought only once in MMA and dropped a “Moat Fighting” bout under the Ganryujima banner since 2014. Freddy Assuncao has been out of action for over year himself and has mostly fought at featherweight. At only 31 years old, Assuncao could still make a run to the UFC, but this will be a tough hill to climb.

Abdiel Velazquez is coming off the biggest win of his career. At Titan FC 39, he defeated Olympic wrestler Alexis Vila and moved up 50 spots in the flyweight rankings. However, he is still a slight underdog against Jose Torres. “Shorty” is only 2-0 as a professional but competed extensively as an amateur. His championships at the 2014 and 2015 IMMAF world championships probably caught the respect of the bookmakers.

Jose Torres vs. Nurtilek Konashov (2015 IMMAF Bantamweight Final)

Wrestling flashback: Desmond Green wrestling for the University of Buffalo on Flowrestling.org

Alexis Vila was once the number-one ranked flyweight in the world. He holds wins over two former Bellator bantamweight champions, Joe Warren and Marcos Galvao. However, age seems to have caught up to him as he has lost four of his last five bouts. It is actually pretty crazy that he is still competing considering he won his first of two wrestling world championships in 1993. His opponent Jorge Calvo was only two years old at the time.

Alexis Vila vs. Vougar Oroudjov 1993 Freestyle Wrestling World Final