Bellator 179 Fight Forecast

The main event of Bellator 179 comes down to ranking vs. momentum. Over the past two years, Rory MacDonald has been higher ranked than Paul Daley. However, as noted by his -48.25 Rankings Momentum, MacDonald has been on a major slide recently. Which indicator will end up being right on Friday night? MacDonald does have the ability to outwrestle Daley over the course of three rounds, but Daley always has a chance with his huge power.

Fight Forecast

Fight Forecast is a recurring series at that provides a stats based preview of upcoming events. Since striking stats are not available outside the UFC, we need to get a bit creative. The following uses Fight Matrix rankings, peak rank, Tapology user votes, betting odds and Rankings Momentum.

In this case, the period used for Rankings Momentum was 7/1/2015 to 4/1/2017. Fighters must have been ranked in at least four quarters during the period to be includedTapology scores are as of May 18 at 11:30 a.m. ET. Betting odds are from 5Dimes as of May 18 at 11:30 a.m. ET.

UFC Fight Night 89 Fight Forecast

Fight Forecast previews the event by providing the fighter's career StrikeScore as well as UFC Fantasy predictions, betting odds, DraftKings prices and Fight Matrix rankings. In the following table, predicted winners are in blue and predicted losers are in red. 

StrikeScore is a proprietary stat that measures striking efficiency. The formula uses Fightmetric data, so fighters without fights in the database are not included. Also, a fighter must have at least three fights in the database before the formula can considered at all predictive.

UFC Fantasy and Tapology numbers are the percent of players who have picked each fighter to win. (Numbers are current as of 6/18/2016 12:45 PM EST)

Odds is the betting line of 5Dimes taken from (Numbers are current as of 6/18/2016 12:45 PM EST)

DraftKings prices listed below are the dollar value used for the fantasy game.

Fight Matrix column represents the fighter's current unbiased and objective ranking.

*Fighter with less than 3 fights in FightMetric database   

*Fighter with less than 3 fights in FightMetric database