Bellator 175 Fight Forecast

Fight Forecast is a recurring series at StrikeScoreMMA.com that provides a stats based preview of upcoming events. Since striking stats are not available outside the UFC, we need to get a bit creative. The following uses Fight Matrix rankings, peak rank, Tapology user votes, betting odds and Rankings Momentum.

In this case, the period used for Rankings Momentum was 4/1/2015 to 1/1/2017. Fighters must have been ranked in at least four quarters during the period to be includedTapology scores are as of March 31 at 9:10 a.m. ET. Betting odds are from 5Dimes as of March 31 at 9:10 a.m. ET.

Rizin 2016 NYE Night 1 Fight Forecast

Fight Forecast is a recurring series at StrikeScoreMMA.com that provides a stats based preview of upcoming events. Since striking stats are not available outside the UFC, we need to get a bit creative. The following uses Fight Matrix rankings, peak rank, Tapology user votes and Rankings Momentum.

In this case, the period used for Rankings Momentum was 1/1/2015 to 10/1/2016. Fighters must have been ranked in at least four quarters during the period to be includedTapology scores are as of Dec. 28 at 9:00 a.m. ET.

Bellator 169 Fight Forecast

Fight Forecast is a recurring series at StrikeScoreMMA.com that provides a stats based preview of upcoming events. Since striking stats are not available outside the UFC, we need to get a bit creative. The following uses Fight Matrix rankings, peak rank, Tapology user votes, betting odds and Rankings Momentum.

In this case, the period used for Rankings Momentum was 1/1/2015 to 10/1/2016. Fighters must have been ranked in at least four quarters during the period to be includedTapology scores are as of Dec. 16 at 9:00 a.m. ET. Betting odds are from 5Dimes as of Dec. 16 at 9:00 a.m. ET.

Analyzing Stipe Miocic's KO power and other notes from UFC 198, Bellator 154 and Glory 30

Despite not having a huge reputation as a power striker, Stipe Miocic was able to stop Fabricio Werdum with a single back-peddling punch and win the UFC heavyweight title. Perhaps Miocic should be more respected for his power.

The former Cleveland State wrestler now has four knockouts in his last five fights. He has scored those KOs in a little over 52 minutes of cage time. That means he is earning a .077 knockouts per minute during the stretch. The number is good enough for third best compared to the rest of the ranked heavyweights on the UFC roster.


FighterKO per Minute (Last 5 Fights)
Lewis0.123
Overeem0.080
Miocic0.077
Oliynyk0.070
Arlovski0.067
Hunt0.067
Browne0.060
Mir0.056
Velasquez0.046
Rothwell0.040
Barnett0.026
Struve0.022
Werdum0.020
Nelson0.015
Dos Santos0.010
Magomedov0.000

For Maia, BJJ is the best defense
Over his last three bouts, Demian Maia has absorbed a total of 12 sig strikes. He has absorbed only 12 strikes in his last 37 minutes of cage time. That means his opponents have landed 0.32 sig strikes per minute. To put that number in perspective, the UFC career record for absorbing the fewest sig strikes per minute is 1.18.

Cyborg tops the StrikeScore
Surprisingly none of the performance from UFC 198 were able to crack the StrikeScore Top 10 Most Efficient Striking Performances of 2016 list. However, Cris Cyborg came the closest in her UFC debut. Her first-round stoppage over Leslie Smith earned a 1595 StrikeScore, which is the 12th best score of the year. Ronaldo “Jacare” Souza also cracked the century mark with a 1063 StrikeScore for his total destruction of Vitor Belfort.

Phil Davis vs. King Mo
Fans in the building at Bellator 154 did not seem to agree with the judges awarding Phil Davis the decision victory over Muhammed Lawal. The media echoed that sentiment with five of six writers going with Lawal over Davis. However, for the most part it looks like Davis was at least the better striker over the three rounds. Even though this was not the most exciting fight, it drives home the point that Bellator needs to follow the UFC’s lead and implement five-round non-title main events. The video of the entire fight is available at Bellator.com.

Phil Davis vs. Muhammed Lawal StrikeScore by Round

Glory 30 Superfight Series Box Score
Strikeforce and UFC veteran Guto Inocente has really found a home for himself in Glory. He continued his winning streak with a one-sided decision victory over Ganryujima veteran Brian Douwes and scored the highest StrikeScore of the Superfight Series.

Bellator 154 Fight Forecast

For UFC events, StrikeScoreMMA.com puts together a Fight Forecast. The preview shows the fighter's StrikeScore, betting odds, fantasy stats and so on. However, there are not fantasy numbers available for non-UFC events and striking stats are rarely available. So, using Fight Matrix numbers, we have come up with the following Fight Forecast for Bellator 154. The table below shows the fighter's current ranking, Rankings Momentum, peak ranking and the date of the quarter in which the fighter had their peak ranking.

In this case, the period used for Rankings Momentum was 7/1/2014 to 4/1/2016. Fighters must have been ranked in at least four quarters during the period to be included. Betting odds are from 5Dimes as of May 13 at 5:30 PM EST.

*Ranking at lightweight **Ranking at welterweight

*Ranking at lightweight
**Ranking at welterweight

Notes:

With seven fighters ranked inside the Fight Matrix top 20, light heavyweight is one of Bellator’s stronger divisions. Joining Phil Davis (#4) and Muhammed Lawal (#10) in the top 20 are champion Liam McGeary (#8), Quinton “Rampage” Jackson (#11), Linton Vassell (#16), Tito Ortiz (#18) and Francis Carmont (#20). 

“Cyborg” is riding an even 2 in the Rankings Momentum department. That number will mostly likely rise greatly in the next quarter. His victory over Brennan Ward last time out, moved his ranking all the way up to #66 after his quarterly ranking on March 1 was 216th.