StrikeScore awarded Frankie Edgar with the most efficient striking performance of UFC 211. He outlanded Yair Rodriguez 72 to 16 in terms of significant strikes. On the way towards a second-round stoppage, the former lightweight champion landed 69 percent of his strikes. He did his best work on the ground, as he landed 96 percent of his significant strikes on the ground.
Take a look at the rest of the StrikeScores from last Saturday’s event. You might be surprised to be see Stipe Miocic’s performance as low as fifth. Well, there is a reason for that. The StrikeScore formula equally values landed strikes and striking accuracy. Miocic landed 26 punches and finished the fight in the first round, but Junior dos Santos landed 66 percent of his strikes.
Fight Forecast previews the event by providing the fighter's career StrikeScore as well as UFC Fantasy predictions, betting odds, DraftKings prices and Fight Matrix rankings.
StrikeScore is a proprietary stat that measures striking efficiency. The formula uses Fightmetric data, so fighters without fights in the database are not included. Also, a fighter must have at least three fights in the database before the formula can considered at all predictive.
Odds is the betting line of 5Dimes taken from BestFightOdds.com. (Numbers are current as of May 12 at 3:00 p.m. ET)
DraftKings prices listed below are the dollar value used for the fantasy game. Also listed are the average points scored by the fighter in the fantasy game. For a breakdown of DraftKings scoring click here.
Fight Matrix column represents the fighter's current unbiased and objective ranking.
In this case, the period used for Rankings Momentum was 7/1/2015 to 4/1/2017. Fighters must have been ranked in at least four quarters during the period to be included.
Heading into UFC Fight Night 86, one of the biggest stories was the decline of former UFC heavyweight champion Junior dos Santos. However, on Sunday, he turned things around with a dominating five-round victory over the streaking Ben Rothwell. Per FightMetric, Dos Santos broke the records for most sig strikes landed in a heavyweight fight, most sig strikes landed to the body and most sig strikes landed over the course of a career for a heavyweight. For the fight, he finished with a 279 StrikeScore, which is his highest score since knocking out Mark Hunt in 2013.
That is the good news. The bad news is that prior to his second fight with Cain Velasquez, Dos Santos’ average StrikeScore was 1231. Even with the victory, his Rankings Momentum only improved two points and still stands at -24.7. Dos Santos needs to continue to turn out impressive performances in order to get back into the legitimate title picture.
Alejandro Perez scores highest StrikeScore of 2016
Despite closing as a +110 underdog, Perez put up one of the most ridiculous stat lines in recent MMA history. He landed 87 total strikes and 48 sig strikes while absorbing absolutely zero. He finished the fight via submission due to strikes in the first round. For the performance, Perez has supplanted Anthony Johnson and Chris Camozzi for the most efficient striking performance of the year. The Mexican fighters is now in the driver’s seat to take home the best striker of the month and year awards.
|1||Alejandro Perez||Ian Entwistle||UFC Fight Night 86||4/10/2016||11800|
|2||Anthony Johnson||Ryan Bader||UFC on Fox 18||1/30/2016||9500|
|2||Chris Camozzi||Joe Riggs||UFC Fight Night 83||2/21/2016||9500|
|4||Derek Brunson||Roan Carneiro||UFC Fight Night 83||2/21/2016||6800|
|5||Damian Stasiak||Filip Pejic||UFC Fight Night 86||4/10/2016||6700|
|6||Teemu Packalen||Thibault Gouti||UFC Fight Night 84||2/27/2016||5900|
|7||Oluwale Bamgbose||Daniel Sarafian||UFC Fight Night 83||2/21/2016||4800|
|8||Sheldon Westcott||Edgar Garcia||UFC 195||1/2/2016||3424|
|9||Jason Saggo||Justin Salas||UFC 196||3/5/2016||2173|
|10||Derrick Lewis||Damian Grabowski||UFC Fight Night 82||2/6/2016||1539|
Another interesting addition to the top-ten is Damian Stasiak’s first-round submission over Filip Pejic. Despite only attempting three strikes and landing two, Stasiak scored a whopping 6700. No statistical measure is perfect, and StrikeScore greatly rewards fighters who do not absorb punishment (Pejic landed zero strikes). In a way, taking your opponent down and working for a submission is the best striking defense you can employ.
Bojan Velickovic vs. Alessio Di Chirico Decision
Velickovic took home a unanimous decision victory over Di Chirico in the opening bout of the night. The judges scored it 29-28 (twice) and 30-27. However, of the 15 media scores tracked by MMADecisions, only four scored it for Velickovic. StrikeScore gives the striking advantage to Di Chirico in all three rounds.
The Bellator Three (Aaron Pico, Ed Ruth and Tyrell Fortune) Olympic Trials Recap
This past weekend at the U.S. Olympic Trials, three Bellator signings were in action. Aaron Pico, Ed Ruth and Tyrell Fortune all previously signed with the promotion with the intention of converting to MMA following their wrestling career. While none of the three ended up making the team, Pico, at only 19 years of age, made a lot of noise en route to coming up one match short of Rio 2016.
In his first match, Pico fell behind former Hodge Trophy winner (wrestling’s Heisman Trophy) Jayson Ness 9-0. If he had given up another point, Pico would have lost via technical fall. Instead, he rattled off 20 unanswered points to instead win with a technical fall. In the next round, he defeated two-time NCAA champion Jordan Oliver 11-9. In the semifinals, he scored a 12-1 technical fall over Reece Humphrey. The finals of the Olympic Trials is a best of three series. Pico defeated Frank Molinaro 4-2 in the first match before dropping the next two and finishing second.
Ruth scored a quick 10-0 tech fall over Deron Winn in the opening round. However, he then fell to Keith Gavin 15-8 and was eliminated from championship contention. Ruth then dropped out of the consolation bracket via injury default.
Fortune lost his first match to Dom Bradley. He then forfeited his way out of the competition.
Aaron Pico vs. Jayson Ness
Most Dominant Champions at the Freestyle U.S. Olympic Trials
The following wrestlers were the most dominant at their weight. The measure is Wrestler’s Pythagorean Expectation (WPE) you can read about it here.
|57 kg||Dan Dennis||96.68|
|65 kg||Frank Molinaro||71.91|
|74 kg||Jordan Burroughs||97.57|
|86 kg||J'den Cox||78.11|
|97 kg||Kyle Snyder||88.69|
|125 kg||Tervel Dlagnev||95.49|