Bellator 189 Fight Forecast

Fight Forecast is a recurring series at StrikeScoreMMA.com that provides a stats based preview of upcoming events. Since striking stats are not available outside the UFC, we need to get a bit creative. The following uses Fight Matrix rankings, peak rank, Tapology user votes, betting odds and Rankings Momentum.

In this case, the period used for Rankings Momentum was 1/1/2016 to 10/1/2017. Fighters must have been ranked in at least four quarters during the period to be includedTapology scores are as of Dec. 1 at 9:45 a.m. ET. Betting odds are from 5Dimes as of Dec. 1 at 9:45 a.m. ET.

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Bellator 182 Fight Forecast

Fight Forecast is a recurring series at StrikeScoreMMA.com that provides a stats based preview of upcoming events. Since striking stats are not available outside the UFC, we need to get a bit creative. The following uses Fight Matrix rankings, peak rank, Tapology user votes, betting odds and Rankings Momentum.

In this case, the period used for Rankings Momentum was 10/1/2015 to 7/1/2017. Fighters must have been ranked in at least four quarters during the period to be includedTapology scores are as of Aug. 25 at 9:30 a.m. ET. Betting odds are from 5Dimes as of Aug. 25 at 9:30 a.m. ET.

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Bellator 166 Fight Forecast

Fight Forecast is a recurring series at StrikeScoreMMA.com that provides a stats based preview of upcoming events. Since striking stats are not available outside the UFC, we need to get a bit creative. The following uses Fight Matrix rankings, peak rank, Tapology user votes, betting odds and Rankings Momentum.

In this case, the period used for Rankings Momentum was 1/1/2015 to 10/1/2016. Fighters must have been ranked in at least four quarters during the period to be included. Tapology scores are as of Dec. 1 at 3:30 p.m. ET. Betting odds are from 5Dimes as of Dec. 1 at 3:30 p.m. ET.

Bellator 156 Fight Forecast

Eduardo Dantas looks to reclaim belt
Dantas was thought to be the next big thing to come out of Nova Uniao. He signed with Bellator in 2011 already holding wins over solid veterans Luis Alberto Nogeuira and Shinichi Kojima. In the promotion, he has gone 7-2 with signature wins over former champion Zach Makovsky, Olympic medalist Alexis Villa and current UFC number-one contender Wilson Reis. A pair of upset losses to Tyson Nam and Joe Warren have somewhat cooled off Dantas’ hot prospect status, but he is still a fighter who will be in the bantamweight top ten for years to come.

In the main event of Bellator 156, Dantas challenges former teammate Galvao for the belt. Galvao defeated Joe Warren for the title last year. This will be his first title defense. “Loro” has always been a solid top-position grappler, but his chin has held him back. When the the Zuffa-controlled WEC started sponsoring bantamweight in 2007, the promotion quickly signed Galvao. He had earned top-ten status through his accomplishments in Shooto. However, in two fights for the promotion, he was badly knocked out by both Brian Bowles and Damacio Page. 

In their first match, Dantas scored a second-round knockout. He has only four knockout victories in 21 total fights. However, if he can keep the fight standing, he should be able to put Galvao away again.

A step up in competition becomes a tune up
Chidi Njokuani was set to face former Bellator welterweight champion Douglas Lima. That would have been a tough fight for the 27-year-old striker. However, now Njokuani faces Thiago Jambo, who, rankings wise, is not on this level yet.

Chidi Njokuani vs. Thiago Jambo Fight Matrix Ranking Points

Brandon Halsey 2.0
Bellator is probably hoping that Halsey can get it back together and restore order in the middleweight division. Outside of Halsey, the only other fighters in the Fight Matrix top 50 are champion Rafael Carvalho, Kendall Grove and Melvin Manhoef. Does anyone remember the Carvalho-Manhoef title fight?

Wrestling Flashback: Chris Honeycutt
Like a lot of Bellator’s up and coming talent, Honeycutt was a really good college wrestler. He was the kind of guy who would pin national champions in 32 seconds in all star matches.

Fight Forecast
Fight Forecast is a recurring series at StrikeScore that provides a stats based preview of upcoming events. The following uses Fight Matrix rankings, peak rank, Tapology user votes, betting odds and Rankings Momentum.

In this case, the period used for Rankings Momentum was 7/1/2014 to 4/1/2016. Fighters must have been ranked in at least four quarters during the period to be included. Tapology scores are also as of June 17 at 11:30 a.m. EST. Bettings odds are from 5Dimes via BestFightOdds.com as of June 17 at 11:30 a.m. EST.

*Ranking at Middleweight   

*Ranking at Middleweight

 

Bellator 153 Fight Forecast

Normally for UFC events, StrikeScoreMMA.com puts together a Fight Forecast. The preview shows the fighter's StrikeScore, betting odds, fantasy stats and so on. However, there are not fantasy numbers, striking stats are not available and betting odds come out extremely late if at all. So, using Fight Matrix numbers, we have come up with the following Fight Forecast for Bellator 153. The table below shows the fighter's current ranking, Rankings Momentum, peak ranking and the date of the quarter in which the fighter had their peak ranking.

In this case, the period use for Rankings Momentum was 7/1/2014 to 4/1/2016. Fighters must have been ranked in at least four quarters during the period to be included. Betting odds are from 5Dimes as of April 21 at 1:30 PM EST.

* ranking at lightweight ** ranking at middleweight

* ranking at lightweight
** ranking at middleweight

Benson Henderson Decline?
Naturally UFC president Dana White did not have very flattering things about Henderson on his way out the door. His exact words were, "He’s a former world champion who’s ranked No. 15 now. We’re looking for top-5 guys, guys that are going from 15 to 1, not the other way around."

As his -30 Rankings Momentum shows, Henderson has declined in terms of rankings. However, he does still appear to be a viable contender in two weight classes and a great signing for Bellator. Andrey Koreshkov will not be a walk in the park. If Henderson can pull out the victory, it will be a sign that he is back on the right path in his career. It is interesting to note, that Henderson's StrikeScore numbers have somewhat declined since his move up to welterweight. His scores against Brandon Thatch (153) and Jorge Masvidal (130) are well below his UFC average of 247.

Tough road for Henry Corrales
Patricio Freire's original opponent fell out o the fight well less than two weeks to go. Corrales took the fight on short notice. It will most likely be a struggle. Since signing with Bellator, Corrales has faced his two toughest opponents to date, Daniel Straus and Emmanuel Sanchez, and neither fight has been pretty. Corrales opened as a +260 underdog and the line keeps going up.

Brennan Ward continues to make the case
It seems like after every fight, Ward is convinced that he has done enough to earn a title shot. Unfortunately, he is not the one who decides these thing. He will likely face the winner of the main event for the belt next if he gets past "Cyborg." Santos earned his peak ranking in 2010 after defeating Dream champion Marius Zaromskis. Since that win, he has gone 2-3 with his only victories coming against Elton Rodrigues and Artenas Young. Ward is a justifiable favorite.

MVP Honors
Clearly Bellator would like to build around Michael "Venom" Page. During his run in the promotion he has scored averaged a knockout every for six minutes of fight time. Jeremie Holloway is likely not on this level, but he will get his chance.

Prospect Deferred
Chris Honeycutt has been forced to the preliminary card after falling to Paul Bradley in a battle of NCAA Division I All-Americans. He gets a chance at redemption here as he faces Matt Secor. Bellator originally signed Secor as an opponent for Honeycutt's coach Josh Koscheck.