UFC Fight Night 114 Fight Forecast

Fight Forecast previews the event by providing the fighter's career StrikeScore as well as UFC Fantasy predictions, betting odds, DraftKings prices and Fight Matrix rankings.

StrikeScore is a proprietary stat that measures striking efficiency. The formula uses Fightmetric data, so fighters without fights in the database are not included. Also, a fighter must have at least three fights in the database before the formula can considered at all predictive.

UFC Fantasy and Tapology numbers are the percent of players who have picked each fighter to win. (Numbers are current as of Aug. 3 at 9:00 a.m. ET)

Odds is the betting line of 5Dimes taken from BestFightOdds.com. (Numbers are current as of Aug. 3 at 9:00 a.m. ET)

DraftKings prices listed below are the dollar value used for the fantasy game. Also listed are the average points scored by the fighter in the fantasy game. For a breakdown of DraftKings scoring click here.

Fight Matrix column represents the fighter's current unbiased and objective ranking.

In this case, the period used for Rankings Momentum was 10/1/2015 to 7/1/2017. Fighters must have been ranked in at least four quarters during the period to be included. 

UFC Fight Night 104 Fight Forecast

Fight Forecast previews the event by providing the fighter's career StrikeScore as well as UFC Fantasy predictions, betting odds, DraftKings prices and Fight Matrix rankings.

StrikeScore is a proprietary stat that measures striking efficiency. The formula uses Fightmetric data, so fighters without fights in the database are not included. Also, a fighter must have at least three fights in the database before the formula can considered at all predictive.

UFC Fantasy and Tapology numbers are the percent of players who have picked each fighter to win. (Numbers are current as of Feb. 3 at 1:15 p.m. ET)

Odds is the betting line of 5Dimes taken from BestFightOdds.com. (Numbers are current as of Feb. 3 at 1:15 p.m. ET)

DraftKings prices listed below are the dollar value used for the fantasy game. Also listed are the average points scored by the fighter in the fantasy game. For a breakdown of DraftKings scoring click here.

Fight Matrix column represents the fighter's current unbiased and objective ranking.

In this case, the period used for Rankings Momentum was 4/1/2015 to 1/1/2017. Fighters must have been ranked in at least four quarters during the period to be included. 

Invicta FC 18 Fight Forecast

Three fighters, Taila Santos, Manjit Kolekar and Claudia Rey, were forced off this card due to visa issues. The promotion did a good job scrambling at the last minute, and fans are left with a solid event.

In the main event, Alexa Grasso faces off against Jodie Esquibel in a bout that will likely determine the next challenger for Angela Hill’s strawweight title. Women’s strawweight is still a strange division. Joanna Jedrzejczyk is the UFC champion and undisputed top fighter. Claudia Gadelha has cemented herself as the division’s second best fighter. After that, the situation is a jumble.

Hill left the UFC on the heels of back-to-back losses to Tecia Torres and Rose Namajunas. However, three bouts later she finds herself with the Invicta FC title and the #3 ranking in the Fight Matrix rankings. Neither Grasso or Esquibel are currently ranked due to inactivity. Both have been ranked in the top 15 before, and the winner will end up in at least the top 10 in the next rankings release. Invicta FC will almost certainly have a title fight between top-ranked fighters in the division where the UFC is scrambling for contenders.

Screenshot from FightMatrix.com

Screenshot from FightMatrix.com

Featherweight Blues
The lack of depth in the women’s featherweight division is once again on display. Megan Anderson (#11) is a heavy favorite over Peggy Morgan (#7). The winner is probably the next in line to face Cristiane “Cyborg” Santos. It will be an uphill battle for either fighter. Taila Santos (#9) and Cindy Dandois (#10) are both ranked at featherweight, but are scheduled to have their next fights at bantamweight.

Under the Radar Return
From 2012-2014 Agnieszka Niedzwiedz was on quite a run. She built a 7-0 record and went 2-0 for Cage Warriors FC. She has been out of action since 2014, but the Polish prospect is still only 21 years old. Look for Niedzwiedz to possibly make noise in the flyweight division.

Agnieszka Niedzwiedz vs. Gemma Hewitt

Fight Forecast
Fight Forecast is a recurring series at StrikeScore that provides a stats based preview of upcoming events. The following uses Fight Matrix rankings, peak rank, Tapology user votes, betting odds and Rankings Momentum.

In this case, the period used for Rankings Momentum was 7/1/2014 to 4/1/2016. Fighters must have been ranked in at least four quarters during the period to be included. Tapology scores are as of July 29 at 9:30 a.m. EST. Betting odds are from 5Dimes via BestFightOdds.com as of July 29 at 9:30 a.m. EST.

*Ranking at Featherweight **Ranking at Flyweight ^Ranking at Atomweight ^^Ranking at Bantamweight

*Ranking at Featherweight
**Ranking at Flyweight
^Ranking at Atomweight
^^Ranking at Bantamweight