UFC on Fox 26 Fight Forecast

Fight Forecast previews the event by providing the fighter's career StrikeScore as well as UFC Fantasy predictions, betting odds, DraftKings prices and Fight Matrix rankings.

StrikeScore is a proprietary stat that measures striking efficiency. The formula uses Fightmetric data, so fighters without fights in the database are not included. Also, a fighter must have at least three fights in the database before the formula can considered at all predictive.

UFC Fantasy and Tapology numbers are the percent of players who have picked each fighter to win. (Numbers are current as of Dec. 15 at 11:45 a.m. ET)

Odds is the betting line of 5Dimes taken from BestFightOdds.com. (Numbers are current as of Dec. 15 at 11:45 a.m. ET)

DraftKings prices listed below are the dollar value used for the fantasy game. Also listed are the average points scored by the fighter in the fantasy game. For a breakdown of DraftKings scoring click here.

Fight Matrix column represents the fighter's current unbiased and objective ranking.

In this case, the period used for Rankings Momentum was 1/1/2016 to 10/1/2017. Fighters must have been ranked in at least four quarters during the period to be included. 

UFC on Fox 26 StrikeScore.png

UFC on Fox 23 Fight Forecast

Fight Forecast previews the event by providing the fighter's career StrikeScore as well as UFC Fantasy predictions, betting odds, DraftKings prices and Fight Matrix rankings.

StrikeScore is a proprietary stat that measures striking efficiency. The formula uses Fightmetric data, so fighters without fights in the database are not included. Also, a fighter must have at least three fights in the database before the formula can considered at all predictive.

UFC Fantasy and Tapology numbers are the percent of players who have picked each fighter to win. (Numbers are current as of Jan. 27 at 9:30 a.m. ET)

Odds is the betting line of 5Dimes taken from BestFightOdds.com. (Numbers are current as of Jan. 27 at 9:30 a.m. ET)

DraftKings prices listed below are the dollar value used for the fantasy game. Also listed are the average points scored by the fighter in the fantasy game. For a breakdown of DraftKings scoring click here.

Fight Matrix column represents the fighter's current unbiased and objective ranking.

In this case, the period used for Rankings Momentum was 4/1/2015 to 1/1/2017. Fighters must have been ranked in at least four quarters during the period to be included. 

*Fewer than three fights in the FightMetric database

*Fewer than three fights in the FightMetric database

2017 Prediction Tracker:
StrikeScore: 3-2 66%
UFC Fantasy: 7-5 58%
Tapology: 17-5 77%
Odds: 11-4 73%
DraftKings Value: 8-2 80%
DraftKings Points: 7-4 64%
Fight Matrix: 12-8 60%
Rankings Momentum: 8-9 47%

UFC on Fox 21 Fight Forecast

Fight Forecast previews the event by providing the fighter's career StrikeScore as well as UFC Fantasy predictions, betting odds, DraftKings prices and Fight Matrix rankings. In the following table, predicted winners are in blue and predicted losers are in red. 

StrikeScore is a proprietary stat that measures striking efficiency. The formula uses Fightmetric data, so fighters without fights in the database are not included. Also, a fighter must have at least three fights in the database before the formula can considered at all predictive.

UFC Fantasy and Tapology numbers are the percent of players who have picked each fighter to win. (Numbers are current as of 8/26/2016 11:30 AM EST)

Odds is the betting line of 5Dimes taken from BestFightOdds.com. (Numbers are current as of 8/26/2016 11:30 AM EST)

DraftKings prices listed below are the dollar value used for the fantasy game.

Fight Matrix column represents the fighter's current unbiased and objective ranking.

In this case, the period used for Rankings Momentum was 7/1/2014 to 4/1/2016. Fighters must have been ranked in at least four quarters during the period to be included. 

*Fighter with less than 3 fights in FightMetric database ^Ranking at Lightweight ^^Ranking at Featherweight

*Fighter with less than 3 fights in FightMetric database
^Ranking at Lightweight
^^Ranking at Featherweight

Alessio Di Chirico won Amateur championship with 5-0 professional record

At this weekend's UFC on Fox 21 card, Alessio Di Chirico fights in the UFC for the second time. The Italian fighter will carry a 9-1 professional record into the cage after falling to Bojan Velickovic in his promotional debut. Di Chirico's first big exposure came in 2014 when he won the IMMAF World Championships, an amateur event held in conjunction with UFC Fight Week. However, per Tapology, he had already built a 5-0 professional record at the time of the tournament.

Di Chirico is not the only fighter to win an IMMAF world title with a professional record (see below), but he does hold the dubious honor of having the most professional wins of anyone to win the amateur championship.

Per IMMAF rules, professional are not allowed to compete. However, the rules do state that "each national federation will be held responsible for making sure only Amateurs are entered into IMMAF competitions." Perhaps the Italian national federation was not up to speed in time for the IMMAF's inaugural world championships.

The good news is that at the 2016 edition of the IMMAF tournament, none of the winners had previous professional bouts.

IMMAF Champions with Prior Professional Records


YearWeightFighterWinLoss
2014265Hans Lackner30
2014205Alessio Di Chirico50
2014145Jari Illikainen02
2014W125Amanda Ribas10
2014W115Daniela Kortmann10
2015265Zdenek Ledvina02
2015125Iuri Bejenari20