UFC on Fox 21 Fight Forecast

Fight Forecast previews the event by providing the fighter's career StrikeScore as well as UFC Fantasy predictions, betting odds, DraftKings prices and Fight Matrix rankings. In the following table, predicted winners are in blue and predicted losers are in red. 

StrikeScore is a proprietary stat that measures striking efficiency. The formula uses Fightmetric data, so fighters without fights in the database are not included. Also, a fighter must have at least three fights in the database before the formula can considered at all predictive.

UFC Fantasy and Tapology numbers are the percent of players who have picked each fighter to win. (Numbers are current as of 8/26/2016 11:30 AM EST)

Odds is the betting line of 5Dimes taken from BestFightOdds.com. (Numbers are current as of 8/26/2016 11:30 AM EST)

DraftKings prices listed below are the dollar value used for the fantasy game.

Fight Matrix column represents the fighter's current unbiased and objective ranking.

In this case, the period used for Rankings Momentum was 7/1/2014 to 4/1/2016. Fighters must have been ranked in at least four quarters during the period to be included. 

*Fighter with less than 3 fights in FightMetric database ^Ranking at Lightweight ^^Ranking at Featherweight

*Fighter with less than 3 fights in FightMetric database
^Ranking at Lightweight
^^Ranking at Featherweight

Bellator 160 Fight Forecast

Fight Forecast is a recurring series at StrikeScore that provides a stats based preview of upcoming events. The following uses Fight Matrix rankings, peak rank, Tapology user votes, betting odds and Rankings Momentum.

In this case, the period used for Rankings Momentum was 7/1/2014 to 4/1/2016. Fighters must have been ranked in at least four quarters during the period to be included. Tapology scores are as of Aug. 26 at 9:30 a.m. EST. Betting odds are from 5Dimes via BestFightOdds.com as of Aug. 26 at 9:30 a.m. EST.

*Ranking at Welterweight ^Ranking at Featherweight **Ranking at Bantamweight

*Ranking at Welterweight
^Ranking at Featherweight
**Ranking at Bantamweight


Benson Henderson vs. Patricio "Pitbull" Freire"
It is interesting to see Freire as such an underdog. He actually started out as even less of a favorite, but the public has bet him to +195 at press time. 

Considering the fighter who has given Freire the most trouble is Daniel Straus, Henderson seems to present a tough stylistic matchup for him. On top of that, Henderson will be the much bigger fighter in the cage. The fact that the fight is three rounds also appears to stack the deck against "Pitbull." As the more dynamic fighter, the extra two rounds would give him more time to score a finish.

Henderson needs a win here to show that his apparent decline is due more to underestimation of Andrey Koreshkov and less to due with his ability. In retrospect, his three-fight stint at welterweight was probably not the best idea. He went 2-1, but all of his performances were well below his career average in terms of StrikeScore.

Georgi Karakhanyan vs. Bubba Jenkins
In their first fight, Karakhanyan telegraphed the fact that he was going to continually go for the guillotine. He ended up finishing with it anyway. Since then Jenkins has shown incremental improvements, but his submission defense is still a concern. With that being said, the former NCAA champion should be the favorite here. Their first fight withstanding, Karakhanyan normally struggles with wrestlers. If Jenkins can get early takedowns, the former WSOF champion will become less of a submission threat as the fight goes on.

Saad Awad vs. Derek Anderson
If Awad lands early, he can put anyone away, see wins over Evangelista "Cyborg" Santos and Will Brooks. If Anderson can survive the early onslaught, he should be able to prove he is the more technical striker and take a decision victory.

A.J. McKee vs. Cody Walker
McKee is the biggest favorite on the card despite only being 4-0 as a professional. It makes sense in this case. Despite being only 4-0, his opponents in those bouts came in with a combined 11-1 record, so it is not like he is smashing cans. Plus, Walker really struggled with his defensive wrestling against J.C. Cottrell in his last fight (Video). McKee might not be as accomplished a wrestler as his father or cousin, but he still competed at a high level in his school and can depend on it if he gets into trouble here. 

A.J. McKee vs. Ali Naser (Expected starter for Arizona State next season)

Joey Davis vs. Keith Cutrone
Obviously, Davis should be able to win his professional MMA debut based on his wrestling background alone. At Notre Dame College, he went 131-0 and captured four NCAA Division II titles. In the history of NCAA wrestling, there have been only three wrestlers to go undefeated and win four titles: Davis, Olympic gold medalist Cael Sanderson and Marcus LeVesseur. LeVesseur accomplished the feat for Division III Augsburg. He fought MMA 29 times from 2003-2012 but went only 1-2 in the UFC with a split-decision win over Carlo Prater.

Interesting side note: Bellator has promoted Davis as having an undefeated 5-0 amateur MMA record. The only source for this record seems to be an interview Davis did with InterMat in 2014. Tapology actually has him listed as 1-1 in the amateur ranks. Either way, he should have a long and successful MMA career in front of him.

Alessio Di Chirico won Amateur championship with 5-0 professional record

At this weekend's UFC on Fox 21 card, Alessio Di Chirico fights in the UFC for the second time. The Italian fighter will carry a 9-1 professional record into the cage after falling to Bojan Velickovic in his promotional debut. Di Chirico's first big exposure came in 2014 when he won the IMMAF World Championships, an amateur event held in conjunction with UFC Fight Week. However, per Tapology, he had already built a 5-0 professional record at the time of the tournament.

Di Chirico is not the only fighter to win an IMMAF world title with a professional record (see below), but he does hold the dubious honor of having the most professional wins of anyone to win the amateur championship.

Per IMMAF rules, professional are not allowed to compete. However, the rules do state that "each national federation will be held responsible for making sure only Amateurs are entered into IMMAF competitions." Perhaps the Italian national federation was not up to speed in time for the IMMAF's inaugural world championships.

The good news is that at the 2016 edition of the IMMAF tournament, none of the winners had previous professional bouts.

IMMAF Champions with Prior Professional Records


YearWeightFighterWinLoss
2014265Hans Lackner30
2014205Alessio Di Chirico50
2014145Jari Illikainen02
2014W125Amanda Ribas10
2014W115Daniela Kortmann10
2015265Zdenek Ledvina02
2015125Iuri Bejenari20

Yair Rodriguez sets personal best SSpM and other notes from UFC Fight Night 92

The following is a stats=based recap of UFC Fight Night 92. The number listed in parentheses is the StrikesScore achieved by each fighter.

Yair Rodríguez (206) vs. Alex Caceres (40)
Rodriguez landed 4.8 sig strikes per minute against Caceres which is a new personal best in the UFC. He previous best rate was 3.73 SSpM against Charles Rosa. Rodriguez really upped his volume to achieve this. He attempted 13.52 SSpM, which is nearly double his previous high of 7.31. At this event, Rodriguez’s cardio held up and he successfully defended himself from counters and takedowns. However, missing that many strikes is probably not the best approach to fighting against better competition.

Caceres only managed to land 2.48 SSpM, which is his lowest rate since being knocked out without landing a strike against Francisco Rivera last year.

Dennis Bermudez (671) vs. Rony Jason (-39)
Bermudez was able to steamroll his way through the first two rounds. In the first round, he landed 24 sig strikes while absorbing only one. In the second round, he returned to his wrestling base and landed four of his six takedown attempts. Jason has not won a decision in his eight-fight UFC career since his debut in 2012. 

Thales Leites (476) vs. Chris Camozzi (1)
This fight was just what the doctor ordered for Leites. In his last two fights, he had absorbed 196 sig strikes, so he was probably not looking forward to another beating. Since Camozzi had no answers for Leites’ grappling game, he managed to land only 8 sig strikes over the nearly 13-minute fight. Leites picked up his fifth submission win in 11 UFC wins.

Santiago Ponzinibbio (266) vs. Zak Cummings (10)
Cumings seemed determined to prove that he could win a standup fight with Ponzinibbio. He was able to hang in, but he was continually beaten to the punch. Cummings attempted 36 more sig strikes, but was outlanded 58 to 35. As expected Ponzinibbio had much better footwork and was much more accurate en route to the decision victory.

Trevor Smith (305) vs. Joe Gigliotti (16)
Smith had never absorbed fewer sig strikes in a fight that went to decision. Gigliotti only managed to land 15 sig strikes. The former Iowa State wrestler also landed four takedowns, which is a new career high for UFC/Strikeforce career. 

Maryna Moroz (38) vs. Danielle Taylor (267)
This fight was a historic example of striking ineptitude. Together Moroz and Taylor combined to land only 34 of 353 attempted significant strikes. Moroz attempted 251 strikes and landed only 17, while Taylor also landed 17 on 102 attempts. Moroz’s sig strike accuracy fell from 37 to 22 percent after the performance.

Court McGee (74) vs. Dominique Steele (145)
With only 38 sig strikes landed in a 15-minute fight, StrikeScore does not tell the whole story. However, Steele did outland McGee and landed the better strikes after getting stunned early. However, McGee continue to come forward and attempted 15 takedowns, which always has an influence on the judges.

Marcin Tybura (843) vs. Viktor Pesta (-151)
This fight ended up being an even money fight. Cleary Tybura’s stock fell in the eyes of the bookmakers after his defeat in his UFC debut. He had a clear advantage in the striking game and it showed. Pesta managed to land only 3 sig strikes, which means he has been kept in single digits for his last two fights. Tybura has been ranked as high as #12 by Fight Matrix and will likely get back there considering the heavyweight landscape.

David Teymur (475) vs. Jason Novelli (-103)
Going into the card, it seemed like Teymur was the more polished striker. That turned out to be the case. Novelli struggled to land anything of note and ate heavy strikes whenever he tried to kick. Teymur really found his range in round two and ended the fight. His accuracy jumped from 38 percent first round to 66 percent in the second. 

Teruto Ishihara (453) vs. Horacio Gutierrez (-110)
For his last two fights, “Yashabo” is landing a knockout for every 20 landed significant strikes. He needed only 13 to get it done against Gutierrez. 

Cub Swanson (469) vs. Tatsuya Kawajiri (-30)
Kawajiri came in as a +270 underdog and put a scare into Swanson. “The Crusher” probably deserved to win the first round with a takedown and three passes on the ground. However, two of the three judges ended up giving Swanson 30-27 scorecards. Swanson was the better striker throughout and outlanded Kawajiri on sig strikes in rounds two and three 57 to 17. Kawajiri went three for 12 on takedown attempts and lost for the first time in the Octagon after landing more than one takedown.

Justin Ledet (232) vs. Chase Sherman (24)
Ledet was the superior striker from the start. He ended up outlanding Sherman 113 to 59 on sig strikes, but that does not even tell the whole story. Sherman’s only consistent weapon were some pretty damaging leg kicks. Outside of that, he was not really able to score. Excluding those leg kicks, Ledet’s advantage moves to 113 to 23. After the impressive debut, it will be interesting to see how Ledet does moving forward. Other UFC heavyweights will attempt to test his clinch work and takedown defense much more than Sherman did. 

UFC Fight Night 92 Fight Forecast

Fight Forecast previews the event by providing the fighter's career StrikeScore as well as UFC Fantasy predictions, betting odds, DraftKings prices and Fight Matrix rankings. In the following table, predicted winners are in blue and predicted losers are in red. 

StrikeScore is a proprietary stat that measures striking efficiency. The formula uses Fightmetric data, so fighters without fights in the database are not included. Also, a fighter must have at least three fights in the database before the formula can considered at all predictive.

UFC Fantasy and Tapology numbers are the percent of players who have picked each fighter to win. (Numbers are current as of 8/5/2016 2:00 PM EST)

Odds is the betting line of 5Dimes taken from BestFightOdds.com. (Numbers are current as of 8/5/2016 2:00 PM EST)

DraftKings prices listed below are the dollar value used for the fantasy game.

Fight Matrix column represents the fighter's current unbiased and objective ranking.

In this case, the period used for Rankings Momentum was 7/1/2014 to 4/1/2016. Fighters must have been ranked in at least four quarters during the period to be included. 

*Fighter with less than three fights in the FightMetric database

*Fighter with less than three fights in the FightMetric database

Titan FC 40 Fight Forecast

Fight Forecast is a recurring series at StrikeScore that provides a stats based preview of upcoming events. The following uses Fight Matrix rankings, peak rank, Tapology user votes, betting odds and Rankings Momentum.

In this case, the period used for Rankings Momentum was 7/1/2014 to 4/1/2016. Fighters must have been ranked in at least four quarters during the period to be included. Tapology scores are as of Aug. 5 at 9:30 a.m. EST. Betting odds are from 5Dimes via BestFightOdds.com as of Aug. 5 at 9:30 a.m. EST.

*Ranking at featherweight

*Ranking at featherweight

Notes
In his last fight, Gesias Cavalcante defeated Pat Healy for the vacant Titan FC lightweight title. Prior to that, “JZ” had fought only once in MMA and dropped a “Moat Fighting” bout under the Ganryujima banner since 2014. Freddy Assuncao has been out of action for over year himself and has mostly fought at featherweight. At only 31 years old, Assuncao could still make a run to the UFC, but this will be a tough hill to climb.

Abdiel Velazquez is coming off the biggest win of his career. At Titan FC 39, he defeated Olympic wrestler Alexis Vila and moved up 50 spots in the flyweight rankings. However, he is still a slight underdog against Jose Torres. “Shorty” is only 2-0 as a professional but competed extensively as an amateur. His championships at the 2014 and 2015 IMMAF world championships probably caught the respect of the bookmakers.

Jose Torres vs. Nurtilek Konashov (2015 IMMAF Bantamweight Final)

Wrestling flashback: Desmond Green wrestling for the University of Buffalo on Flowrestling.org

Alexis Vila was once the number-one ranked flyweight in the world. He holds wins over two former Bellator bantamweight champions, Joe Warren and Marcos Galvao. However, age seems to have caught up to him as he has lost four of his last five bouts. It is actually pretty crazy that he is still competing considering he won his first of two wrestling world championships in 1993. His opponent Jorge Calvo was only two years old at the time.

Alexis Vila vs. Vougar Oroudjov 1993 Freestyle Wrestling World Final

July UFC Striking Performance of the Month

July had several top striking performance, but Louis Smolka finished with the highest StrikeScore for his continuous onslaught on Ben Nguyen. Despite the high score, he did not come close to unseating Alejandro Perez's top score of the year so far.


RankFighterOpponentEventDateStrikeScore
1Louis SmolkaBen NguyenUFC Fight Night 917/13/20162194
2Tatiana SuarezAmanda CooperTUF 23 Finale7/8/20161836
3Amanda NunesMiesha TateUFC 2007/9/20161648
4Cain VelasquezTravis BrowneUFC 2007/9/20161120
5Anthony HamiltonDamian GrabowskiUFC 2017/30/20161070
6Derrick LewisRoy NelsonUFC Fight Night 907/7/20161063
7Alberto MinaMike PyleUFC Fight Night 907/7/20161031
8Jim MillerTakanori GomiUFC 2007/9/2016950
9Kevin LeeJake MatthewsTUF 23 Finale7/8/2016646
10Gegard MousasiThiago SantosUFC 2007/9/2016581

Tyron Woodley does it with power, other notes from UFC 201

Last Saturday at UFC 201, the welterweight title changed hands, a number-one contender in the women's strawweight division was decided and a heavyweight scored the highest StrikeScore of UFC his career. Let's look back at the card.

Tyron Woodley (411) vs. Robbie Lawler (-93)
Despite the long layoff and a seemingly unstoppable opponent, Woodley was able to claim the belt via knockout in the first round. Since coming over to the UFC in 2013, power has been an essential part of the former Missouri wrestler’s success. In the Octagon, he has finished five of eight opponents via stoppage and is only 1-2 in the bouts that go to decision. As champion, Woodley’s next fight will be scheduled for five rounds, which is a double edged sword. On one hand, he will have more time to catch his opponent, but on flipside he has fought past round three only once in his career.

Not only did Lawler’s title reign come to an end, but Woodley also ended the former champion’s run of back and forth grueling fights. Going into UFC 201, Lawler had not been knocked out since falling to Nick Diaz in 2004. The -93 StrikeScore is also his lowest since the Diaz fight. Lawler had also absorbed more strikes over his last six fights than his did in his previous 22 for UFC/Pride/Strikeforce/Elite XC. Hopefully for fans of his incredible fights, the knockout is not a sign of an impending decline in Lawler’s ability to take punishment.

Karolina Kowalkiewicz (91) vs. Rose Namajunas (125)
Kowalkiewicz took the decision despite registering a lower StrikeScore than Namajunas. The Polish fighter outlanded her opponent in terms of significant strikes 84 to 70, but Namajunas was much more accurate. However, once the score is broken down by round, it shows that Kowalkiewicz clearly deserved to win after taking the final two rounds

Kowalkiewicz vs. Namajunas StrikeScore by Round

With the victory, Kowalkiewicz is set to become the next challenger to Joanna Jędrzejczyk’s title. The victory over Namajunas was impressive, but the performance does not really inspire a lot of hope for a bout against the champion. At UFC 201, Kowalkiewicz did her best striking work in the clinch and on the ground. In round two, she landed 30 of her 44 significant strikes in the clinch. In the final round, she landed 16 of her 25 significant strikes in the clinch and on the ground. Not only is Jędrzejczyk extremely hard to take down, but she finds ways to force a distance striking battle over the a 25-minute fight. That type of fighting certainly will favor the champion.

Jake Ellenberger (449) vs. Matt Brown (-99)
Despite being known for throwing with power, Ellenberger had not scored a knockout finish since 2013. Since that victory over Nate Marquardt, he had gone 1-5 in the UFC. Against Brown, Ellenberger showed that he is still a dangerous fighter. One overlooked aspect of his performance was his ability to continue fighting after his first post-knockdown salvo. In many previous fights, Ellenberger has gassed out and struggled to continue.

Erik Perez (98) vs. Francisco Rivera (102)
This fight is another example of the final StrikeScore not telling the whole story. After a solid first round, he was outworked in the following two rounds.

Perez vs. Rivera StrikeScore by Round

This is probably the biggest win in Perez’s career. However, one issue was his ability to generate power from the top position in round three. Rivera was exhausted and holding on for the final bell. In the round, mostly spent on top, Perez landed 98 total strikes but only 16 were considered significant. If he would have been able to score with stronger punches from the top, he would have likely finished Rivera.

Ryan Benoit (188) vs. Fredy Serrano (39)
Serrano was able to land five of 14 takedowns in the fight, but he really did not have much else. Benoit did a good job of getting back to his feet and winning the striking battle in rounds one and three. Serrano, as a freestyle wrestler, does not have as much of a background in holding opponents down the way an American collegiate wrestler would. Plus, the advantage that wrestlers usually have in MMA seems to be minimized at lower weight classes as smaller fighters are more quick and athletic when it comes to getting back up.

Nikita Krylov (337) vs. Ed Herman (-63)
Krylov joined the UFC as the #205 heavyweight per Fight Matrix. He has gone on to go 6-2 in the promotion and score stoppages in all his victories. He has reached #15 light heavyweight in the newest rankings release. During his UFC career, Krylov has outlanded his opponents 238 to 125.

Jorge Masvidal (236) vs. Ross Pearson (30)
From an output perspective, Masvidal had the best striking night of his UFC career. Against Pearson, “Gamebred” landed 7.53 sig strikes per minute, which is significantly higher than his career number of 4.09. Masvidal is now 2-2 since moving up to welterweight, but two of those fights have come against fighters who normally compete at lightweight.

Anthony Hamilton (1070) vs. Damian Grabowski (-130)
Hamilton’s 1070 StrikeScore was the highest of the night. It is also the highest of his UFC career. The performance raised his average StrikeScore from 220 to 362. Interestingly enough, the 14-second knockout was not the fastest of his career. In 2012, he finished Mike Riddell in only seven seconds.

Grabowski has been ranked as high as #12 in the Fight Matrix rankings, but he has not put his best foot forward in the UFC. In his two Octagon fights, he has been knocked out in a total time of 2:31.

Wilson Reis (112) vs. Hector Sandoval (101)
Reis is obviously a high-level grappler, but this victory over Sandoval was only his second submission victory in the UFC. Prior to joining the, Reis had scored submissions in 50 percent of his wins.

Michael Graves (108) vs. Bojan Velickovic (153)
The majority of tracked media members believe that Graves deserved to win this fight. He controlled the final two rounds, while Velickovic struggled to do much of anything. With that being said, Graves needs more than ground control to win in the UFC. In his last two bouts, he has landed 0.75 sig strikes per minute, which is not going to get it done against higher level opposition.

Damien Brown (213) vs. Cesar Arzamendia (-3)
Brown bounced back from his debut loss in the UFC, to score a highlight reel knockout over Arzamendia. Brown landed more strikes in this short fight than he did in the entire fight against Alan Patrick. With Arzamendia’s loss, veterans of the two seasons of “The Ultimate Fighter: Latin America” are now 26-23 in the UFC

UFC 201 Fight Forecast

StrikeScore wise the main event of UFC 201 is a close fight. Robbie Lawler holds a marginal advantage over Tyron Woodley 150 to 138. In StrikeScore, a score of 100 represents a fighter who has performed equally to his/her opponents in terms of striking performance, so both have outstruck their collective opponents. However, if we look at both of the fighter’s last five fights, Woodley has had the higher scores.

Lawler vs. Woodley StrikeScore (Last 5 Fights)

In one-on-one bouts performance is not the only pertinent indicator. Fighters who have stellar performances against lesser opposition are rarely successful at the highest level of the sport. If we use contemporary Fight Matrix ranking points, it shows that Lawler has fought the much higher level of competition over those same five fights.

Lawler vs. Woodley Opponent Ranking Points (Last 5 Fights)

Of course striking is not everything in MMA. Early in his career, Woodley relied on his wrestling background. However, as he has advanced, he has depended on it less than less. He has attempted only five takedowns since his last fight in Strikeforce.

Tyron Woodley Career Takedowns

Fight Forecast
Fight Forecast previews the event by providing the fighter's career StrikeScore as well as UFC Fantasy predictions, betting odds, DraftKings prices and Fight Matrix rankings. In the following table, predicted winners are in blue and predicted losers are in red. 

StrikeScore is a proprietary stat that measures striking efficiency. The formula uses Fightmetric data, so fighters without fights in the database are not included. Also, a fighter must have at least three fights in the database before the formula can considered at all predictive.

UFC Fantasy and Tapology numbers are the percent of players who have picked each fighter to win. (Numbers are current as of 7/29/2016 11:30 AM EST)

Odds is the betting line of 5Dimes taken from BestFightOdds.com. (Numbers are current as of 7/29/2016 11:30 AM EST)

DraftKings prices listed below are the dollar value used for the fantasy game.

Fight Matrix column represents the fighter's current unbiased and objective ranking.

In this case, the period used for Rankings Momentum was 7/1/2014 to 4/1/2016. Fighters must have been ranked in at least four quarters during the period to be included. 

Invicta FC 18 Fight Forecast

Three fighters, Taila Santos, Manjit Kolekar and Claudia Rey, were forced off this card due to visa issues. The promotion did a good job scrambling at the last minute, and fans are left with a solid event.

In the main event, Alexa Grasso faces off against Jodie Esquibel in a bout that will likely determine the next challenger for Angela Hill’s strawweight title. Women’s strawweight is still a strange division. Joanna Jedrzejczyk is the UFC champion and undisputed top fighter. Claudia Gadelha has cemented herself as the division’s second best fighter. After that, the situation is a jumble.

Hill left the UFC on the heels of back-to-back losses to Tecia Torres and Rose Namajunas. However, three bouts later she finds herself with the Invicta FC title and the #3 ranking in the Fight Matrix rankings. Neither Grasso or Esquibel are currently ranked due to inactivity. Both have been ranked in the top 15 before, and the winner will end up in at least the top 10 in the next rankings release. Invicta FC will almost certainly have a title fight between top-ranked fighters in the division where the UFC is scrambling for contenders.

Screenshot from FightMatrix.com

Screenshot from FightMatrix.com

Featherweight Blues
The lack of depth in the women’s featherweight division is once again on display. Megan Anderson (#11) is a heavy favorite over Peggy Morgan (#7). The winner is probably the next in line to face Cristiane “Cyborg” Santos. It will be an uphill battle for either fighter. Taila Santos (#9) and Cindy Dandois (#10) are both ranked at featherweight, but are scheduled to have their next fights at bantamweight.

Under the Radar Return
From 2012-2014 Agnieszka Niedzwiedz was on quite a run. She built a 7-0 record and went 2-0 for Cage Warriors FC. She has been out of action since 2014, but the Polish prospect is still only 21 years old. Look for Niedzwiedz to possibly make noise in the flyweight division.

Agnieszka Niedzwiedz vs. Gemma Hewitt

Fight Forecast
Fight Forecast is a recurring series at StrikeScore that provides a stats based preview of upcoming events. The following uses Fight Matrix rankings, peak rank, Tapology user votes, betting odds and Rankings Momentum.

In this case, the period used for Rankings Momentum was 7/1/2014 to 4/1/2016. Fighters must have been ranked in at least four quarters during the period to be included. Tapology scores are as of July 29 at 9:30 a.m. EST. Betting odds are from 5Dimes via BestFightOdds.com as of July 29 at 9:30 a.m. EST.

*Ranking at Featherweight **Ranking at Flyweight ^Ranking at Atomweight ^^Ranking at Bantamweight

*Ranking at Featherweight
**Ranking at Flyweight
^Ranking at Atomweight
^^Ranking at Bantamweight

WSOF 32 Fight Forecast

Fight Forecast is a recurring series at StrikeScore that provides a stats based preview of upcoming events. The following uses Fight Matrix rankings, peak rank, Tapology user votes, betting odds and Rankings Momentum.

In this case, the period used for Rankings Momentum was 7/1/2014 to 4/1/2016. Fighters must have been ranked in at least four quarters during the period to be included. Tapology scores are as of July 28 at 1:30 p.m. EST. Betting odds are from 5Dimes via BestFightOdds.com as of July 28 at 1:30 p.m. EST.

The main and co-main event of WSOF 32 are both rematches for titles. Marlon Moraes defends the bantamweight title against Josh Hill after defeating him at WSOF 18. Lance Palmer looks to regain his title from Alexandre Almeida after the Brazilian upset him at WSOF 26. Both fights are available below.

Marlon Moraes vs. Josh Hill



Alexandre Almeida vs. Lance Palmer

UFC on Fox 20 Fight Forecast

Fight Forecast previews the event by providing the fighter's career StrikeScore as well as UFC Fantasy predictions, betting odds, DraftKings prices and Fight Matrix rankings. In the following table, predicted winners are in blue and predicted losers are in red. 

StrikeScore is a proprietary stat that measures striking efficiency. The formula uses Fightmetric data, so fighters without fights in the database are not included. Also, a fighter must have at least three fights in the database before the formula can considered at all predictive.

UFC Fantasy and Tapology numbers are the percent of players who have picked each fighter to win. (Numbers are current as of 7/22/2016 12:30 PM EST)

Odds is the betting line of 5Dimes taken from BestFightOdds.com. (Numbers are current as of 7/22/2016 12:30 PM EST)

DraftKings prices listed below are the dollar value used for the fantasy game.

Fight Matrix column represents the fighter's current unbiased and objective ranking.

In this case, the period used for Rankings Momentum was 7/1/2014 to 4/1/2016. Fighters must have been ranked in at least four quarters during the period to be included.